China's addressable mutual fund market is projected to balloon to $12 trillion by 2027, of which foreign companies can expect to manage a quarter.
The prediction from Shanghai-based consultancy Z-Ben Advisors assumes domestic capital markets will grow while tax-incentivised pension schemes will accelerate flows into savings products.
“Contrary to the current conventional thinking, global managers will be able to compete and gain market share in the domestic Chinese fund industry,”
said the report.
The consultancy anticipates the asset mix in China's funds industry will change. In 2017, money market funds accounted for 59% of the estimated $1.8 trillion held in Chinese mutual funds, according to the firm's statistics. By 2027, money market funds are forecast to account for 21% of mutual fund assets. The proportion held in active equity and passive funds is expected to rise in the same period.
Z-Ben Advisors predicts that fee revenues will remain attractive in China, with total industry profitability tipped to rise more than seven times over between 2017 and 2027.
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